Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 104.399252 115.656975 127.115867 139.622829 152.860204 166.425692 181.350112
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 86.432840 102.772736 120.091968 139.697658 161.159827 183.832551 209.487763
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 74.440905 93.485001 114.296761 138.486406 165.596281 194.827823 228.518332
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 67.054221 88.263011 112.046136 140.292605 172.545938 207.880281 249.176893
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 61.430072 84.385222 110.726254 142.602444 179.581602 220.631769 269.159243
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 54.790203 78.692592 106.776952 141.406113 182.207149 228.079098 282.896294
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 48.158759 72.464305 101.724865 138.487811 182.466426 232.519519 292.950418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 45.903607 71.492359 102.848420 142.774530 191.048018 246.454827 313.819271
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 43.335661 69.898329 103.031673 145.779860 198.001531 258.426831 332.382775
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.133030 65.855965 99.904762 144.515868 199.664805 264.067241 343.483361
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.345727 62.100189 96.920179 143.233251 201.143532 269.363525 354.080704
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.846280 59.941907 95.861750 144.253026 205.343432 277.831884 368.370792
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.264311 57.532085 94.393233 144.717625 208.874285 285.561297 381.902012
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 28.101467 55.582948 93.434364 145.760098 213.076411 294.082690 396.388388
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 25.297144 52.470601 90.731683 144.391528 214.140619 298.711770 406.151430
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 23.793070 51.232652 90.534392 146.261051 219.259922 308.270315 421.842575
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 22.561694 50.331403 90.745434 148.628570 224.987392 318.567241 438.435878
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 20.349817 47.690366 88.359428 147.401586 226.020715 323.015392 447.893311
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 17.833367 44.332888 84.775566 144.407363 224.654193 324.397692 453.542885
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 17.488529 44.647281 86.570720 148.805346 232.936487 337.841661 473.996811
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 16.824919 44.353711 87.429915 151.887907 239.489677 349.128385 491.824346
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 15.125072 42.077573 85.209346 150.591508 240.211924 353.042288 500.542833
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 13.558291 39.900416 83.035307 149.275894 240.843480 356.795297 509.030436